2026 Market Events
Calendar dates that can shift market flow depending on the data versus expectations.
U.S. jobs report
Strong but not overheated hiring can support earnings; a very hot report can lift yields, while a weak report can raise recession risk.
June CPI inflation
Cooler inflation can support risk assets; hotter inflation can pressure stocks and crypto through higher rate expectations.
FOMC rate decision
A softer policy tone can support liquidity; a more restrictive tone can pressure valuations and risk appetite.
Q2 GDP advance estimate
Growth above expectations can support earnings confidence; weak growth can raise slowdown concerns.
July CPI inflation
Cooler inflation can improve September positioning; hotter inflation can weigh on stocks and crypto.
August jobs report
A balanced jobs print can support a soft-landing view; extreme strength or weakness can unsettle rate and growth expectations.
FOMC decision and projections
Lower projected rates can support risk appetite; higher projected rates can reset valuations into Q4.
September CPI inflation
This inflation print can shape expectations before the late-October Fed meeting.
FOMC rate decision
Policy tone may move yields, dollar strength, equity multiples, and crypto liquidity in either direction.
Q3 GDP advance estimate
A positive growth surprise can support cyclicals; a weak reading can pressure broad market confidence.
U.S. midterm elections
Results can shift expectations around taxes, regulation, deficits, and sector leadership.
October CPI inflation
Post-election inflation data can quickly shift rate and dollar expectations depending on the surprise.
November jobs report
The final major labor read before the December Fed decision can change the market's rate-path view.
FOMC decision and projections
Year-end Fed projections can set the first-quarter narrative for liquidity, rates, and valuations.
November CPI inflation
A key inflation print for year-end yields, dollar moves, and valuation pressure depending on the surprise.